Tuesday, December 18, 2007

Early Big East Rankings

#1 Georgetown (8-0)
Good Wins- blew out Old Dominion 66-48 on the road, beat Alabama 70-60 on the road
Bad Games- None
Team Strengths- Half Court Defense, Half Court Offense, Interior Scoring, Rebounding, Ball Handling, Perimeter Shooting, Depth.
Team Weaknesses- Full Court Offense, Lack Versatility.
The Hoya’s haven’t exactly played against an elite schedule this season.  However, they’ve won all of their games thus far and have looked very impressive in a couple of their victories.  In fact they’ve have yet to really be challenged all year.  They have nine players averaging over 17 minutes a contest.  They have a nice mixture of experienced vets and talented youngsters.  They’re disciplined, well coached, they rebound, they defend, they take care of the basketball, they shoot it well from the outside and they can score inside.  What’s not to like right?
One area of concern for Georgetown is that they cannot push the tempo.  They’re strictly a half court team and lack the versatility to play at different speeds that may be needed in order to win a National Championship.  In other words, it’s only a weakness if you’re really good.  However, they have guards that take care of the basketball and effectively set and dictate the tempo so it’s difficult to get Georgetown out of their comfort zone anyway. 

#2 Pittsburgh (10-0)
Good Wins- Beat Duquesne 73-68 on the road, Beat Washington 75-74 on the road and blew out Okie State 85-68.
Bad Games- None
Team Strengths- Interior Scoring, Half Court Defense, Ball Handling, Lead Guard Play, Experience, Depth, Rebounding.
Team Weaknesses- Full Court Offense, Perimeter Shooting, Lack Size.
I really had to search for true weakness of this team.  Their really only weakness right now is their inability to play at faster tempos but even that’s not that big of a weakness of theirs.  They do lack size in terms of height though.  The tallest player in their rotation is 6′7 and they’ve struggled a little shooting from the outside but players like Cook, Fields and Ramon are proven perimeter shooters so don’t expect that trend to continue.
This is one of the best offensive Pitt teams in quite some time.  They have a true go to scorer in Sam Young, a true post scorer in Dejuan Blair and plenty of perimeter firepower in Fields, Cook and Ramon.  Even though they’re a little undersized they’re still a physical team that rebounds the ball very well and defends.  They’re not as good defensively as they have been in the past but they’re still a cut above most teams in that department.  This is a very dangerous team and in my opinion are top 10 worthy.

#3 Marquette (8-1)
Good Wins- Blew out Oklahoma State 91-61 and beat Wisconsin 81-76 on the road
Bad Games- None
Team Strengths- Guard Play, Playmaking Ability, General Defense, Athleticism, Experience.
Team Weaknesses- Interior Scoring, Perimeter Shooting, Lack Size.
Beating Wisconsin @ Wisconsin is a very impressive victory for Marquette.  This is an experienced group of players that are well coached and know how to play together.  They defend at a high level on the perimeter and have a shot blocker in the middle in Barro.  They rebound fairly well for being undersized and are able to turn teams over and get out in transition and score.  They have some of the best guards in the country with McNeal, James, Mathews, Cubillan and Acker.
The problem with this team is the same problem they’ve had since Robert Jackson graduated.  They lack interior scoring and size up front.  They just do not get any offensive production on the interior and that forces their guards to do too much offensively.  As talented as their guards are they’re not good shooters and when you can’t shoot from the outside or score from inside you’re going to have problems scoring the basketball.  Marquette will likely lose some games they shouldn’t this year because of their inconsistent offense.

#4 West Virginia (8-1)
Good Games- Barely lost to Tennessee 72-74, Beat New Mexico State 75-61, Blew out Auburn 88-59 on the road and Blrew out Duquesne 92-68
Bad Games- None
Team Strengths- Experience, Coaching, Pressure Defense, Full Court Offense, Ball Handling, Perimeter Shooting.
Team Weaknesses- Interior Scoring, Rebounding, Interior Defense.
This might be the most impressive team in the Big East right now.  They’re playing as well as any team in the conference under new head coach Bob Huggins.  However, they haven’t exactly been playing against world beaters and it’s still hard to tell just how good this team might be.  Their most impressive game this year could be their loss to Tennessee which shows that West Virgninia can play with the big boys but might not be one of the big boys.
Joe Alexander, Alex Rouff, Da’Sean Butler and Darris Nichols give WVU four players that can all score, shoot and handle the basketball which makes them a difficult offensive team to cover.  What has been most surprising about this team though is that they’re playing physical team defense.  Huggins is a coach that demands toughness but he inheritated a group of kids that were more known for their softness than their toughness.  This team still lacks size inside as well as consistent low post offensive play.  This is certainly a team worth keeping an eye on. 

#5 Villanova (8-1)
Good Games- Beat George Mason 84-76, beat LSU 68-67 and beat Temple 101-93 on the road.
Bad Games- None
Team Strengths- Guard Play, Ball Handling, Full Court Offense, Depth, Athleticism.
Team Weaknesses- Half Court Defense, Interior Offense, Inexperienced.
Jay Wright is proving to truly be one of the best young coaches in college basketball.  He’s adapting to his players strengths and weaknesses.  That’s the sign of a good coach.  What Jay Wright has are goods guards and bunch of athleticism.  Scottie Reynolds and Corey Fisher form one of the best back courts in the Big East and they have good depth behind them with Redding, Stokes and Grant.  This Nova team is looking to get out and run thsi year.  They  have good enough guards to play at a faster tempo while still being able to take care of the basketball.  That’s quite the luxury to have.
The problem with this Nova team right now is that they’re not very good defensively in the half court setting and that is not a good weakness to have.  In fact that’s one of the worst weaknesses a team can have in college basketball.  Villanova is not going to be able to run teams out of the gym come March nor will they be able to consistently do that against good and discplined basketball teams.  However, they don’t have enough interior production or experience to make up for this weakness of theirs.

#6 Louisville (5-3)
Good Wins- Beat Old Dominion 64-53, Beat Miami(OH) 47-44
Bad Games- None
Team Strengths- Coaching, Athleticism, Half Court Defense, Interior Scoring, Rebounding.
Team Weaknesses- Depth, Perimeter Shooting, Ball Handling, Lead Guard Play, Full Court Offense.
Louisville has had a rough start but it’s way to early to dismiss this team as a failure like some people seem to be already doing.  They still have a good amount of talent and one of the finest coaches in the game.  They can still defend at a high level, they have good athletes, can score inside and will outrebound most of the teams they play against.  Anytime you rebound, defend and score inside you’re going to be alright.
However, this team has no shooting, little creative ball handling and very little depth.  They can’t get out and run on teams because they don’t have good enough ball handling or enough bodies on the roster to keep up with teams.  When you can’t play at a fast pace that you means you’re forced to play in the half court setting but Louisville doesn’t have the playmakers or shooters right now to score effectively in the half court setting.  It’s an offensive problem that Pitino needs to figure out in order for this team to even come close to living up to their lofty preseason expectations.

#7 Connecticut (7-2)
Good Wins- None
Bad Games- None
Team Strengths- Rebounding, Half Court Defense, Athleticism.
Team Weaknesses- Perimeter Shooting, Ball Handling, Half Court Offense.
UConn has only played two good teams all year and lost both to Memphis and Gonzaga.  They won their other 7 games but they were against nobodies.  How good is UConn?  It’s hard to say.  They’re better than they were last year because it appears as though they have improved guard play with Dyson emerging as a possible go to scorer as a sophomore and A.J. Price has become a stable lead guard.  As always this UConn will be able to defend at a very high level defensively and they will outrebound most of their opponents.  They have size and athleticism.
This is still not a good offensive team though.  They don’t have shooters or reliable interior scorers and they’re not going to continue to run and gun with teams so they’ll have to find a way to score consistently in the half court setting.  It’s likely that they’ll struggle scoring the basketball much like they did last year.  Until they beat someone of importance they will continue to be ranked in the middle of my Big East rankings.

#8 Syracuse (7-3)
Good Wins- Beat St. Joes 72-69, Beat Virginia 70-78 on the road.
Bad Games- Blown out by Ohio State 65-79
Team Strengths- Lead Guard Play, Playmaking Ability, Rebounding.
Team Weaknesses- Perimeter Shooting, Ball Handling, Half Court Defense, Depth, Inexperienced.
Syracuse has played better than their ranking, however, they dropped a few spots because of the loss of Eric Devendorf for the season.  The Cuse just do not have the guard depth to make up for this loss.  Andy Rautins is out of the year and Josh Wright left the team.  They have very few options.  Without Devendorf they lose a lot of playmaking ability, scoring and perimeter shooting.  It leaves the Cuse with one perimeter shooter in Donte Greene and only two playmakers in Paul Harris and Jonny Flynn. 
Syracuse is not a good half court defense team either, they lack depth, they turn the ball over way too much, they don’t have reliable interior scoring and now they’re a poor perimeter shooting team.  They still have some very talented players in Green, Flynn and Harris but unless they find a hidden gem they’re going to be a bubble team once again this year that will likely be playing in the NIT come March.

The rest of the conference rankings…..

#9 Notre Dame (7-2)
#10 Providence (6-3)
#11 Seton Hall (7-2)
#12 St.Johns (4-2)
#13 South Florida (7-3)
#14 Depaul (2-5)
#15 Rutgers (7-4)
#16 Cincinnati (4-5)

Posted by hater at 20:36:25 | Permalink | Comments (2)

Saturday, December 8, 2007

Early ACC Rankings

#1 North Carolina (8-0)
Big Wins- Beat BYU 73-63, @Ohio State 66-55, @Kentucky 86-77
Bad Games- None
Team Strengths- Interior Scoring, Coaching, Lead Guard Play, Full Court Defense, Rebounding, Versatile
Team Weaknesses- Perimeter Shooting, Turnover Prone.
The Tar Heels haven’t had their floor general for much of the season but they’ve still been able to win all of their games thanks to the combination of Hansbrough inside and Ellington outside.  Hansbrough is one of the most dominant low post threats in the game today.  His ability to score inside as well as draw contact and make his free throws makes him one of the most effective scorers in the country.  The key for UNC though has been the emergence of Ellington as a legit and consistent perimeter scoring threat.  Once this team gets Lawson back running the point and dictating tempos UNC will be even more dangerous.
The team defense looks good in the both the half court and full court settings and this is a team that will outrebound just about everyone they play this year.  The only real weakness this team has right now is perimeter shooting.  Ellington and Green have shown the ability to hit from the outside but neither are true outside shooting threats. 

#2 Duke (8-0)
Big Wins- Beat Illinois 79-66, #11 Marquette 77-73 and #20 Wisconsin 82-58
Bad Games- None
Team Strengths- Perimeter Shooting, Ball Handling, Guard Depth, Coaching, Full Court Defense, Athleticism
Team Weaknesses- Interior Scoring, Interior Defense, Turnover Prone
Thus far this Duke team has been able to surprise and impress this year.  However, Duke started the year hot last year as well.  This is a much different Duke team though.  They’re a more attacking team that loves to get out and run and can shoot from the perimeter as well as any team in the ACC.  Gerald Henderson has stepped up and could end up emerging as the teams go to scorer.  With Paulus, Nelson, Henderson, Singler, Scheyer, Smith and King, Duke has a ton of perimeter scorers, shooters, ball handlers and headsy players.
The problem with Duke is on the inside.  It’s going to be a struggle with Thomas and Zoubek inside if Duke is unable to create match-up problems with their guards and get out and run on teams. 

#3 Clemson (8-0)
Big Wins- @Mississippi State 74-72, Purdue 61-58, South Carolina 85-74
Bad Games- None
Team Strengths- Athleticism, Experience, Full Court Defense, Perimeter Shooting.
Team Weaknesses- Free Throw Shooting, Ball Handling, Turnover Prone.
If there is any team in the ACC that is capable of playing and hanging with Duke and North Carolina it’s Clemson.  They have the experience and the athletes to be a top tier team in the ACC.  Clemson is for real this year.  Cliff Hammonds is one of the most underrated players in the country.  He’s a do it all senior guard that just simply gets the job done game in and game out.  With Mays and Booker on the interior Clemson has what could be the best front court duo in the ACC.  Mays is a terrific athlete that creates havoc all over the court and Booker is a tremendous interior rebounder and shot blocker who can score with his back to the basket.  Clemson also has the ability to shoot the ball from the outside with Oglesby, Rivers and Hammonds.
Where Clemson is struggles most is in the ball handling department.  They struggle taking care of the basketball and they currently have a freshman running their offense in Stitt who is shooting under 40% from the field and has more turnovers than assists.  That’s not going to cut it against the elite teams in the country.  Nor is their putrid free throw shooting.

#4 Miami (8-0)
Big Wins-  Beat VCU 69-63, Providence 64-58 and St.Johns 66-47
Bad Games- Barely Beat Morgan State 55-51
Team Strengths- Half Court Defense, Rebounding, Perimeter Shooting, Depth, Physical Team, Experience.
Team Weaknesses- Full Court Offense, Ball Handling, Lead Guard Play, Lack Athleticism.
Miami is off to a great and somewhat surprising start this season.  They returned a good amount of talent from last years team but no one was quite sure how their returning talent would mesh with the incoming talent.  Thus far it’s meshed well.  Miami is currently ranked #1 in the RPI. 
They’re a great half court defensive team because of their interior shot blockers and man to man defense on the perimeter.  They don’t handle the basketball ball very well though and if teams can force them into a full court game they will struggle.  This is a tempo team that needs to play at a slow pace, pound the ball inside and hit shots from the outside.  It’s a not a creative team because they don’t like to get out and run and they don’t have very good ball handlers or playmakers.  It should be interesting to see if Miami can stay where they are in my rankings once ACC play starts.  The middle of the ACC is very balanced.

#5 Virginia (7-2)
Big Wins- Beat #17 Arizona 75-72 on the road
Bad Games- Blown out by Seton Hall 60-74
Team Strengths- Lead Guard Play, Rebounding, Half Court Defense, Perimeter Shooting.
Team Weaknesses- Interior Scoring, Turnover Prone, Full Court Offense.
Virginia is a very perimeter oriented offensive team.  Their top five scorers are perimeter players.  They’re led by Singletary who is as good of a go to scorer as you will find in the country.  His 19 points, 4 boards and 7 assists are impressive but his 5 turnovers and 39% shooting are not.  His strength is his ability to get into the lane, create shots for teammates and get to the foul line where he is automatic.  Joseph and Diane are both reliable outside shooters but neither is good at creating their own shot and rely heavily on Singletary.  In fact the entire roster relies on Singletary which is too much for one player.  This is not a good offensive team. 
However, they are a good rebounding team and they play very disciplined half court defense.  They’re not a team that is going to get out and run even though they’re a very perimeter oriented team.  They’re more accustomed to a slug it out type of game where they outrebound and outhustle their opponents.

#6 Boston College (7-0)
Big Wins- Beat Maryland 81-78
Bad Games- None
Team Strengths- Lead Guard Play, Ball Handling, Coaching, Half Court Offense, Interior Defense.
Team Weaknesses- Youth, Full Court Offense, Rebounding.
Boston College is doing what Boston College does.  They’re winning and flying under the radar once again this year.  They’re led by one of the best guards in the country in Tyrese Rice.  Rice is arguably the best guard in the ACC and if you compare his numbers to Singletarys(UVA) he’s having a better season.  He’s not relied on as heavily but he’s been more effective.  Boston College is another team that does not like to get out and run and very much prefer to play a slower game in the half court setting.  They have good ball handlers and passers in Rice and Paris that are good at getting other players open for shots.  They have players in Spears, Rice, Sanders and Raji who are capable of scoring the basketball at a consistent rate as well. 
Boston College has struggled shooting from the outside though.  Rice and Roche need to be more consistent from the outside because this is not a team that will dominate inside or score in transition so they need perimeter shooting.  Defensively they have one of the finest shot blockers in the country Tyrelle Blair but their perimeter defense is shaky and can be exploited.  Rebounding may become a concern later on as well because they’re not an overly big or athletic team.  Last but not least this is a very young and inexperienced team outside of Rice.

#7 Florida State (8-2)
Big Wins- Beat UAB 78-70, Beat #25 Florida 65-61 on the road, Beat Minesota 75-61
Bad Games- Lost to Clev St. 66-69, Lost to South Florida 67-68 on the road
Team Strengths- Perimeter Scoring, Guard Play, General Defense, Experience.
Team Weaknesses- Interior Scoring, Very Turnover Prone, Rebounding, Lack Offensive Balance
Thus far Florida State has been an inconsistent team this year.  They’ve beaten Florida @ Florida but they’ve lost to Cleveland State and South Florida.  Senior guard Isaiah Swann has been extremely good this year.  He’s been more reliable in his senior season then he ever was his first three years.  His offense and Florida State’s defense have been this teams biggest strengths this year. 
Four of Florida’s state’s best five players are under 6 foot 2 and that means that Florida State has very little offensive balance.  This team just does not get enough offense on the interior in order for them to be able to score the basketball on a consistent level.  In order for this team to get an NCAA birth they’re going to have to rely very heavily on their guards and their defense.  Those are two things that are key in order to winning basketball games in the ACC but I doubt Florida State will have enough of those two things to get over the hump this year.

#8 Maryland (6-4)
Big Wins- Beat Illinois 69-61
Bad Games- Barely Beat N.Eastern 74-72.
Team Strengths- General Defense, Lead Guard Play, Playmakers.
Team Weaknesses- Turnover Prone, Perimeter Shooting, Half Court Offense, Depth.
It’s been an ugly season for Maryland.  They’re playing very bad offensively.  They’re turnover the ball over, shooting very poorly from the outside and they’re not turning teams over as much as they used to defensively.  With Vasquez and Hayes in the back court Maryland has two capable playmakers but without consistent interior scoring or perimeter shooting they will continue to struggle scoring the basketball. 
Maryland’s half court defense has been good thus far though but they’re not pressuring the basketball and forcing turnovers as much as they used to.  Gist is one of the better shot blockers in the country and his ability to create problems on the defensive end is key for Maryland’s success.  This is not a good Maryland team right now.  They have some talented players in Gist, Vasquez and Hayes but they’re not a terribly deep team and they may have too many glarying weaknesses to get back into the NCAA Tournament this year.

#9 North Carolina State (4-3)
Big Wins- Beat #20 Villanova 69-68
Bad Games- Lost to New Orleans 63-65, Blown out by Michigan State 58-81 and lost to ECU 69-75 on the road.
Team Strengths- Interior Scoring, Size, Decent Half Court Defense.
Team Weaknesses- Ball Handling, Toughness, Lead Guard Play, Rebounding, Full Court Offense, Perimeter Shooting.
Where does one start with this team?  They’re a mess right now and they’ve been easily the most dissapointing team in the ACC.  They have very little team speed and not enough ball handlers or playmakers.  Their strength is their size but they lack athleticism and toughness.  They don’t rebound well and they don’t shoot well from the outside.  They can’t get out and run against teams and are forced to slow games down and try scoring inside, however, both Costner and McCauley are playing out of place and neither look comfortable offensively.  Right now the only bright spot on the team has been freshman big man J.J. Hickson.  He’s the real deal but he’s a freshman and is far from good enough to carry this teams lofty preseason expectations on his back.

#10 Georgia Tech (4-4)
Big Wins- Beat Notre Dame 70-69, Barely lost to Indiana 79-83 on the road
Bad Games- Lost to NC Greensboro 74-83, Lost to Winthrop 73-79 on the road
Team Strengths- Perimeter Shooting, Experience, Interior Scoring.
Team Weaknesses- General Defense, Rebounding, Turnover Prone, Lead Guard Play, Full Court Offense
Georgia Tech has a lot of talent and they’ve been able to score the basketball because they can score in a variety of ways in the half court setting.  Clinch and Morrow give GT perimeter scoring and outside shooting while Smith, Peacock, Aminu and Lawal give them some interior offensive punch.  The problem with Georgia Tech is their arratic lead guard play and overall defense.  They turn the ball over too much and are by far and away the worst defensive team in the ACC in just about every possible category.

#11 Virginia Tech (5-3)
#12 Wake Forest (5-3)

Posted by hater at 21:44:52 | Permalink | Comments (1) »

Thursday, December 6, 2007

Early Big Ten Rankings

#1 Michigan State (7-1)
Big wins- Missouri 86-83, #24 North Carolina State 81-58, Bradley on the road 66-61
Bad Games- Barely beat Oakland at home 75-71
Team Strengths- Half Court Defense, Toughness, Coaching, Rebounding, Lead Guard Play, Ball Handling, Depth.
Team Weaknesses- Full Court Offense, Perimeter Shooting, Turnover Prone.
It’s a close call between Michigan State and Indiana right now.  I like Michigan State better because they have more depth and more toughness than Indiana.  The key to Michigan State’s success is their guards.  They have good guards that take care of the basketball and are very effective at dictating the tempo, slowing the dame down and forcing teams to play in the half court setting.  It’s very difficult to beat this Michigan State team in the half court setting.  They have good size up front with Suton and Morgan and good ball handlers in Neitzel, Walton and Lucas.  Last but not least this is one of the best rebounding teams in the country.  They force teams into one and outs and they really attack the offensive glass.  Morgan is developing into one of the most versatile forwards in the country.
This is not a team that is capable of playing at different tempos though.  They’re not as versatile as Indiana is in that department They’ve also struggled shooting the ball from the outside this year.  Both Walton and Lucas see a lot of minutes in the back court but neither is a threat to shoot from the outside and unless Neitzel and Allen are hitting it from deep they’re not going to get a lot of perimeter offense.

#2 Indiana (7-1)
Big Wins- Beat Georgia Tech 84-79, Beat Southern Illinois 64-51
Bad Games- Were blown out by Xavier 65-80
Team Strengths- Perimeter Shooting, Interior Scoring, Versatile Defense, Playmaking Ability.
Team Weaknesses- Turnover Prone, Lack Depth, Very Average Rebounding, Lack Experience
Indiana is by all means right there with Michigan State.  They don’t have State’s depth, toughness or experience though and I don’t think they’re as good of a defense team but they are a more versatile defensive team.  Indiana is a team that has a lot of players that can put the ball on the floor and create.  Eric Gordon is one of the best offensive scorers in the country.  He can score in a number of ways and players like Crawford, Bassett and Ellis are capable of generating offense off the bounce as well.  With D.J. White inside Indiana has the balance offensively to compete with anyone in the country.  They can score inside and outside and they’ve shown that they’re a more than solid defensive team.
Indiana’s biggest weakness right now is their lack of depth.  They’ve only been going about six deep this year and their lack of help inside behind White is a concern.  This team has also been struggling taking care of the basketball lately.  Ellis and Gordon have been turning the ball over at a high rate.  Considering this teams lack of size and depth up front outside of White they may struggle rebounding the basketball as well.

#3 Wisconsin (6-1)
Big Wins- Beat Georgia 68-49
Bad Games- Blown out by Duke @ Duke
Team Strengths- Half Court Defense, Coaching, Ball Handling, Lead Guard Play, Rebounding
Team Weaknesses- Perimeter Shooting, Athleticism, Wing Play
I’ve been fairly high on Wisconsin early on in the year and even after they got hammered by Duke I was still high on them.  They’re not a great offensive team but they’re a capable one.  Their offense runs through big man Brian Butch and guard Trevon Hughes.  Both can create their own offense in very different ways and that gives Wisconsin good offensive balance.  What is going to make or break Wisconsin this year though is their defense.  Right now they’re playing as good of defense as anyone in the country but they haven’t exactly been playing killer teams.  Everyone knows that Wisconsin is a good defensive program and they’ll be good again this year but without players like Tucker and Taylor to score from the wing positions this year Wisconsin is going to have to be better defensively than they were last year.  Just like Michigan State this is a truly great rebounding team.
Scoring the basketball may be a problem for this team.  It hasn’t been that big of an issue thus far but they rely heavily on Hughes to score points for them because no one else on the perimeter has stepped up this year.  Unless Butch can improve upon his very low 40% shooting from the field this team will fall in Big Ten play.  Neither, Krabbenhoft or Flowers give this Wisconsin team much offense from the perimeter.  Both Hughes and Bohannon will have to carry the scoring load from the perimeter and that may end up being too much to ask for out of those two.

#4 Illinois (5-2)
Big Wins- Blew out both Arizona State 77-54 and Oklahoma State 65-49.
Bad Games- None
Team Strengths- Half Court Defense, Rebounding, Experience, Coaching, Limit Turnovers.
Team Weaknesses- Half Court Offense, Full Court Offense, Perimeter Shooting, Don’t Force Turnovers.
After the top three teams in the Big Ten there appears to be a fairly big drop off.  It’s close between Illinois, Ohio State, Purdue and possibly Minnesota.  Illinois is not a good offensive team but they do rebound the basketball at a high level, play good half court defense, take care of the basketball, are well coached and have a good amount of experience on their roster
This team has some serious offensive issues though.  They do not have a go to scorer.  They don’t really have a lot of interior options that can score the basketball, they don’t shoot well from the outside and they’re not a good full court offensive team.  Offensive is a real concern for this team.

#5 Ohio State (4-3)
Big Wins- Blew out #21 Syracuse 79-65
Bad Games- Were blown out by both Texas A&M and Butler(on the road).
Team Strengths- Half Court Defense, Athleticism, Low Post Scoring.
Team Weaknesses- Full Court Offense, Ball Handling, Perimeter Shooting, Lack Playmakers, Depth.
Ohio State has a lot of weaknesses but also a lot of potential.  Players like David Lighty, Kosta Koufos, Evan Turnver and Jon Diebler have the talent to play a lot better than they’ve been playing this year.  Kuoufos has put up good offensive numbers but he’s dissapointed in big games.  What this team has though is a very good defensive front court.  Hunter and Koufos are good interior shot blockers and Lightly is one of the best on ball defenders in the Big Ten.  This team has the athletes and size to be a very good half court defensive team this year.
Offensively is where this team struggles.  They only have two players who appear capable of scoring the basketball at a consistent rate in Koufos and Butler.  Butler as been the teams only perimeter scoring threat.  If Diebler doesn’t get out of his shooting funk Ohio State is going to continue to struggle scoring because they don’t have ball handlers or players that can get him open for easier looks.  Ohio State’s offensive is very stagnent, slow and methodical.  They also do not have very good depth and are limited to a 7 man rotation right now.

#6 Purdue (4-1)
Good Games- Barely lost to #18 Clemson(58-61) @ Clemson.
Bad Games- Barely beat Lipscomb 66-62 at home.
Team Strengths- Athleticism, Guard Play, Full Court Defense, Depth.
Team Weaknesses- Half Court Offense, Interior Scoring, Rebounding, Experience.
Purdue is a hard team to figure out right now because they’re so young and have ony played 5 games thus far.  In all honesty though I would like to put Purdue up higher on my list ahead of both Illinois and Ohio State, but it’s too early to do that.  This is a young team that is deep and athletic.  They can really get out and run and force turnovers
They’re not good in the half court setting though.  They don’t get any production from the low post and they’re not a good outside shooting team.  In order for them to score and win basketball games they need to force  turnovers and push the tempo.  They don’t have the versatility of a team like Indiana.  They also really struggle rebounding the basketball.  They’ll be one of the worst rebounding teams all year in the Big Ten.

#7 Minnesota (5-1)
Good Wins- None
Bad Games- None
Team Strengths- Depth, Full Court Defense, Perimeter Shooting
Team Weaknesses- Ball Handling, Lead Guard play, Winning Experience,
Minnesota has been impressive in their first six games under Tubby Smith.  Granted, they haven’t played anybody but they’re winning This team has fairly good athletes, a lot of depth and Tubby has been using it very well.  They’ve shown the ability to get out and run in transition.  They have three capable offensive scorers in McKenzie, Tollackson and Coleman.  They also have some good young players in Hoffarber, Johnson and Nolen.  With improved athleticism, better perimeter shooting and a more up-tempo approach Minnesota is going to surprise some people this year and probably compete for an NIT bid come March.

The bottom third of the Big Ten is awfully bad and needs a lot of work.  All four of these teams would be lucky to finish the year above the Mendoza line.
#8 Michigan (3-5)

#9 Penn State (3-4)
#10 Iowa (4-4)
#11 Northwestern (3-4)

Posted by hater at 00:14:22 | Permalink | Comments (1) »

Monday, December 3, 2007

Early Big 12 Rankings

#1 Kansas (7-0)
Big Wins over Arizona(76-72OT), @#22 So.Cal(59-55)
Bad Games- None
Strengths- Half court defense, Full court defense, Experience, Interior scoring, Rebounding, Athleticsm
Weaknesss- Half court offense, perimeter shooting
Until the Jayhawks get Collins back this is going to be a rather inept offensive team.  They don’t have a ton of shooters either and need to pressure the basketball and force turnovers in order to generate offense a good amount of offense.
However, this is probably the best all around defense team in the country.  They can stop any team from scoring on them because they’re able to defend in both the half court and full court settings, they have great perimeter defenders, shot blockers and good inteior depth.  Once Rush and Collins get back to 100% this team will have as good of a shot as anyone at winning it all this year. 

#2 Texas (7-0)
Big Wins over #7 Tennessee(97-78), @#2 UCLA 63-61
Bad Games- None
Strengths- Guard play, perimeter shooting, half court defense
Weaknesses- Interior scoring, depth
Texas has probably been the most impressive team thus far in the Big 12 with a blow out win over Tennessee and a win @ UCLA.  They have arguably the best guards in the country and that’s huge.  Augustin is as good of a point guard as there is in the country.  He outplayed Darren Collison head to head.  They have a bunch of shooters and ball handlers and can really spread teams out and score on them.  They’re a very difficult team to match-up with.
Defensively, they’re active but they lack size and could struggle rebounding the basketball this year as well as defending bigger teams.  They also don’t have much depth or at least haven’t been using much of it this year.  Texas is one of those teams that will sometimes shoot themselves out of games because they rely so heavily on their perimeter shooting to win basketball games.

#3 Texas A&M (7-1)
Good Wins- Blew out Ohio State, Washington and Alabama
Bad Games- None
Strengths- Interior play, Rebounding, Half Court Defense, Perimeter Shooting.
Weaknesses- Lead guard play, Ball Handling, Struggle playing at faster tempos.
With the exception of one half of basketball against Arizona this has been a very impressive season for A&M and new head coach Mark Turgeon.  They have one of the best interior trios in the country in Jones, Jordan and Davis.  They have a lot of size and strength and they will likely outrebound most of the teams they play against.  They also have guards that can shoot the basketball from the outside in Carter, Sloan and Roland.  Last but not least they will once again be a good half court defense team.
This team does have some weaknesses though.  They’re not a good ball handling team.  They don’t have a player that can get into the lane effectively, make good decisions with the basketball and generate offense for others.  This team also appears to only be able to play in the half court setting and they will need to slow basketball games down in order to win.  They can’t play at faster tempos at all it appears.

#4 Missouri (5-3)
Good Wins- Beat Maryland 84-70
Bad Games- None
Team Strengths- Depth, athleticism, Ball Handling, Guard play, Full court defense.
Weaknesses- Perimeter Shooting, Lack of Size, Rebounding, Half court defense
Missouri has yet to really step up and show people that they can beat top 25 caliber teams this year.  They have shown that they can play top 25 teams close but they’ve lost most of their marquee match-ups thus far.  They don’t have a lot of size and teams will be able to score on them inside this year.  Missouri will have to conintue to pressure the basketball and force turnovers but they will also have to start doing a better job of taking care of the basketball.
Missouri has the potential, experience, talent, depth, coaching and athleticism to be a top 25 team this year.  They have a good inside-outside combo with Carroll and Hannah and when they’re able to turn teams over and force the tempo into a faster pace they’re good enough to beat anyone in the country, IMO.

#5 Baylor (5-1)
Good Wins- Beat Notre Dame 68-64.
Bad Games- None
Team Strengths- Guard play, Experience, Perimeter Shooting, Half Court Defense
Weaknesses- Lack of Size, Interior Scoring, Turnover Prone, Rebounding.
Baylor is one of those teams that is right on the cusp of breaking into the top half of the Big 12.  In order for them to be able to do this they will need to continue to play good half court defense.  That’s the key.  They have good guard play and a lot of experience in their back court.  They have players that are not afraid to shoot the basketball from the outside and can also get into the lane and creates shot for teammates.
What they lack is size.  Kevin Rogers is the teams only low post scoring threat and he’s been rather inconsistent throughout his career.  This is not a full court team.  They don’t like to pressure the basketball and get out and run even though they’re a smaller team.  So they need their guards to do a lot for them and against more physical and skilled teams that just isn’t enough.  Baylor is a team to keep an eye on though.

#6 Oklahoma (6-2)
Good Wins- None
Bad Games- None
Team Strengths- Interior play, depth, Athleticism
Weaknesses- Guard play, Ball handling, Perimeter Shooting
Oklahoma’s really only played two good teams year in Memphis and USC and lost both by double digits so it’s hard to say that Oklahoma deserves to be in the top half of the Big 12.  However, OU has very good interior players and an improving back court.  With Blake Griffin and Longar Longar inside OU might have the best interior duo in the Big 12 and if they can get good enough play from players like Leary, Crocker and Johnson OU should be good enough to get a birth into the NCAA Tournament.  As of now though their inconsistent perimeter play makes them a very average offensive team that tends to struggle scoring the basketball.

#7 Kansas State (5-2)
Good Wins- None
Bad Games- Barely beat UCF(73-71OT)
Team Strengths- Interior Scoring, Athleticism
Weaknesses- Ball Handling, Guard Play, Perimeter Shooting, Coaching
I normally never list coaching as a weakness of a team but Frank Martin appears to be in over his head right now.  He’s a young guy with very little experience as a head coach.  He also has a very young team that is still trying to figure out an idenitity.
Michael Beasley though is truly a man among boys.  He’s really good but I am not sure he’s good enough to carry this team to an NCAA Tournament all by himself and right now it looks like that is what he’ll have to do with this team.  He’s going to need a healthy Bill Walker and thus far that has not been the case.  K-State’s guards are very average, this team has no outside shooting and they’re not good enough defensively to make up for these offensive deficiencies.

#8 Oklahoma State (3-3)
Good Wins- Beat LSU 83-77
Bad Games- Lost to North Texas 73-82, lost to Marquette by 30 and Illinois by 16.
Team Strengths- Athleticism, Good Transition scoring team
Team Weaknesses- Guard play, Ball Handling, Interior Defense, Interior Offense, Rebounding, Coaching.
This team has a good amount of talent but it seems to be all log jammed at the same positions.  With Anderson and Harris OSU has good athletes on the perimeter that can score and excell in transition but they’re ball handling and lead guard play is terrible, their interior production is almost non-existent and their interior defense is putrid.  This team has a lot of weaknesses right now but they do have a fair amount of potential if Sean Sutton can figure out how to use it effectively.

#9 Nebraska (5-1)
Good Wins- Beat Arizona State by 15
Bad Games- Blown out by Creighton on the road
Team Strengths- Interior Scoring, Ball Handling, Pressure Defense
Weaknesses- Depth, Rebounding, Lack Size, Perimeter Shooting.

#10 Texas Tech (5-3)
Good Wins- Beat #14 Gonzaga 73-63
Bad Games- Lost to Sam Houston State 54-56, Lost to Centenary 66-70
Team Strengths- Not sure
Weaknesses- A lot

#11 Iowa State- They’re very bad
#12-Colorado- They’re even worse.

Posted by hater at 22:51:55 | Permalink | Comments (1) »